Saturday, November 1, 2008
posted by Spencerblog at
IBD/TIPP has Obama at 46.7 to McCain's 44.6 with 8.7 undecided. And most sensible people agree that the more “undecided” the better for McCain because anyone truly undecided at this point just means that they haven’t fallen under the Obama BS spell and they are probably not likely to. A tie goes to McCain. TIPP is considered the most accurate poll of the 2004 election. "Most Accurate Pollster Of The Campaign Season" An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed TIPP was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season, coming within three-tenths of a percentage point of Bush’s actual margin of victory. Learn more at www.TIPPonline.com.
r. I saw that on Drudge as well.lets look at some of the other polls...Gallup Obama 52% McCain 43%Rasmussen: Obama 51%, McCain 46%ABC/Washington Post: Obama 54%, McCain 43%Hotline/Diageo: Obama 50%, McCain 45%Research 2000: Obama 51%, McCain 44%Zogby: Obama 50%, McCain 44%in fact most polling has confirmed that Obama is gaining in the final days.so I guess the only thing we can do is wait til Tuesday... see Voices carry.but McCain did seem really excited when someone today call him president....but here is the the reality.McCain could win PA, and still lose...google" interactive electoral map" and look at the states. Its just not going to happen for McCain.Great guy who just somehow lost his way. As I said to a buddy of mine the other day, I wouldn't mind the McCain of 2000 being president, but not this guy.
"A tie goes to McCain."Dear Mathematically Challenged: 1) If TIPP was right, McCain would have to get 5.4 and Obama 3.3 of the 8.7 undecided. This would be 62% to 38% of the undecideds. McCain does not have that percentage lead in any category. Keep dreaming. 2) The undecideds may be the ones that stay home. 3) TIPP's 2004 "accuracy" is most like the result of dozens of polls randomly spread within the margin of error, and by chance being the closest. Don't be silly pinning your hopes on a single poll.
New Gallup: Obama +11 (55 vs 44)
I just got an email election update that said Obama only has a 1 point lead in early voting. It also said this about the poll numbers:McCain now leads Florida (50%-49%) and North Carolina (50%-49%) is tied with Obama in Missouri (49%-49%) and Ohio (49%-49%). And in two other states McCain is within the statistical margin of error to be tied with Obama: Colorado (51%-47%) and Virginia (51%-47%).
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