The Affidavit of Probable Cause
It claims a number of things that seem in conflict with not only with the reported facts, including one assertion not supported by the 911 recording that evening.
According to the affidavit: "When the police dispatcher realized Zimmerman was following Martin he instructed Zimmerman not to do that..."
What the dispatcher actually said was "we don't need you to do that."
The affidavit is incredibly vague about the details of the alleged crime, it insinuates much but offers very little in the way of hard facts to support the charge. The standard for probable cause is low so a judge will probably let the prosecution get away with this but this is paper thin.
Alan Dershowitz thinks so too:
UPDATE: The affidavit mentions information taken from "sworn" witnesses. Was one of them the man who claimed to have Trayvon Martin on top of Zimmerman and Zimmerman yelling for help.
Did this guy tell the state's attorneys office a different story? Was he interviewed at all? In the affidavit the investigators cite Trayvon Martin's mother as recognizing her son's voice yelling for help on a 911 tape. That seems to conflict with this man's statement. And he was supposedly at the scene.
Will this guy be a witness for the prosecution or the defense. If he sticks to the above story, it's hard to see how it won't damage the prosecution's case.
Dershowitz imagines a possible plea bargin. I can too. Even if Zimmerman was legally justified in shooting Martin, he might well still feel some guilt over his own part in creating this tragedy. That might help induce him to plead to a much lesser charge. He has been vilified as a racist and wanton killer of a young black man. If the incident went down as he reportedly told police on the night of the shooting, if I were him I would want the world to know it.